Virginia Monologue

2 comments November 9th, 2005at 02:56pm Posted by Eli

Some thoughts and questions inspired by the outcome of the VA and NJ gubernatorial elections:

Didn’t the pre-election polling in both states make both elections look pretty close? And yet the reality ended up being pretty overwhelmingly Democrat. Is there any underlying message we can divine from this? When we had the exact opposite discrepancy in 2004, I assumed that it reflected voter turnout, which can’t be adequately predicted by phone polling.

So does this mean that the Democrats won the turnout battle in VA & NJ? Does it mean that Democratic voters are becoming more energized and Republican ones more demoralized? Or is this just what elections look like without concerted tampering or voter suppression efforts?

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Elections,Polls,Republicans

2 Comments

  • 1. zoe kentucky  |  November 9th, 2005 at 4:41 pm

    Nice blog! Just wanted to say hi. I’m originally from Pittsburgh, have been away for 15 years, spent the past 7 years in DC and have been blogging for nearly 3 of those years. I’m planning on moving back to the ‘burgh for grad school as well as settle there. I’m happy to see there is a nice blogging community there, as I plan to continue blogging after I move.

  • 2. Multi Medium » Hell&hellip  |  February 3rd, 2007 at 9:36 pm

    […] This is another one of those posts where I try to crystallize some thoughts I’ve expressed here and there in Eschaton comments. I initially lumped it in with some post-VA/NJ election musings, but it didn’t really fit there, plus it ended up being long enough to rate its own post. […]


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