What Republicans Understand That Democrats Don’t

5 comments February 14th, 2006at 11:37pm Posted by Eli

This is a point I’ve danced around on occasion, that finally crystallized at Drinking Liberally tonight:

Republicans understand that voters in “the base” turn out if motivated, and the undecideds in the middle do not. Consequently, they tailor their electoral strategy to pumping up their base to maximize that turnout, and they don’t worry about the middle all that much because they’re proportionally less of a factor. The Democrats, on the other hand, repeatedly throw their base under the bus in pursuit of those fickle undecideds who probably aren’t voting anyway.

In other words, Republicans understand that turnout is a force multiplier. Democrats are satisfied with just being ahead in opinion polls, implicitly assuming that voter turnout is homogeneous.

And this is why the ballot results never quite live up to the poll results for the Democrats. The Democrats are alienating voters by chasing after non-voters.

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Elections,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Rove

5 Comments

  • 1. flory  |  February 15th, 2006 at 2:35 pm

    Which is, of course, the result of the genius political strategerizing of the truly high-end Dem consultant* class.

    *Hee. I almost typed “conslutant.” Shoulda left it alone.

  • 2. djhlights  |  February 15th, 2006 at 10:22 pm

    You also forgot to mention they have been too busy reading Russ Lieber’s new tome.

    In case you want to check it out at the library it’s called “Raising your voice by raising your hand: A non-confrontational dissenters guide to fighting back politely!”

    I heard Joe-mentum himself wrote the forward.

  • 3. Multi Medium » The &hellip  |  January 27th, 2007 at 3:51 pm

    […] 2.3. Republicans understand the significance of turnout; Democrats do not. A motivated base’s passion and conviction drives them out to vote; the center is not as passionate, and will not turn out en masse. For every “swing” vote gained by tacking right, more than one “base” vote is lost. It is a self-defeating strategy. […]

  • 4. Multi Medium » Demo&hellip  |  May 18th, 2010 at 11:40 am

    […] Multi Medium, 2/14/06: Republicans understand that voters in “the base” turn out if motivated, and the undecideds in the middle do not. Consequently, they tailor their electoral strategy to pumping up their base to maximize that turnout, and they don’t worry about the middle all that much because they’re proportionally less of a factor. The Democrats, on the other hand, repeatedly throw their base under the bus in pursuit of those fickle undecideds who probably aren’t voting anyway. […]

  • 5. Multi Medium » What&hellip  |  July 8th, 2011 at 7:36 am

    […] said this over five years ago: Republicans understand that voters in “the base” turn out if motivated, and the undecideds in […]


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