Greed… Is Good.

2 comments April 22nd, 2007at 02:30pm Posted by Eli

50-State Strategy, bitches!

A few months ago I took a look at the two hundred or so House districts currently represented by Republicans to see realistically how many might be open to a challenge this cycle. The number I came up with — which accounted for each district in which the incumbent took 55 percent or less of the vote and/or voters in the district tend to vote 5 or less points more Republican than the nation as a whole in presidential elections, according to the Cook Partisan Voting Index — was 71, meaning well over a third of Republican districts (and perhaps even more) are sufficiently competitive that Democrats could make serious challenges, and potentially even pick-ups, next year.

While the Democrats will no doubt play quite a bit of defensive in 2008 in the hopes of maintaining their majority in the House of Representatives, the wealth of potential targets should put the leadership of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Commitee — which, by the way, has been seriously outgunning the House GOP in terms of fundraising — on notice that they have the opportunity to not only hold on to their majority but indeed extend their numbers to levels unseen by either party in well over a decade. Indeed, if early recruitment efforts are any indication, it appears that the DCCC is focusing not only on holding onto Democratic seats but also on going after Republican districts that haven’t seen the type of Democratic campaigns their numbers have merited in recent cycles….

(…)

Democratic recruitment all around the country has been showing signs of life as Democrats appear bullish on their party’s chances in next year’s elections. While the Democrats don’t already have candidates in all 435 districts around the country, these early signs seem to augur well for hopes that the Democrats will at least put themselves in the position to increase the size of their majority in the House in 2008 — perhaps even greatly.

And, of course, 21 of the 33 Senators up for re-elect next year are Republicans, and Dubya and the war (which will still be going, BTW) will be even more unpopular. There’s also a good chance that the Republican base will be underwhelmed by their presidential nominee, so Republican turnout could be depressed. As long as the Democrats don’t do anything stupid to claim co-ownership of the war, 2008 could be a bloodbath for the Republicans.

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Elections,Politics

2 Comments

  • 1. regulararmyfool  |  April 22nd, 2007 at 4:11 pm

    Screw 2008. Find out how to impeach or remove the unqualified, corrupt, unamerican representatives and senators one at a time now. Every state has laws on how to remove incompetents. Some even have recall. Just do it.

  • 2. Eli  |  April 23rd, 2007 at 12:53 am

    I think the state laws only apply to state officials, like governors. I don’t think they can do anything about Senators or Reps.

    But even if they could, I’m not sure I would want to open that can of worms. With the Democrats potentially looking at a run of electoral successes, I don’t want to establish a precedent of circumventing election results.


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