Posts filed under 'Polls'

IOKIYAR In Action

Democratic opposition to domestic spying by a Republican president: 73%.  Democratic opposition to domestic spying by a Democratic president: 70%.

Republican opposition to domestic spying by a Republican president: 50%.  Republican opposition to domestic spying by a Democratic president: 77%.

Of course this refers only to Democratic and Republican voters.

August 17th, 2013 at 12:36pm Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Bush,Cheney,Constitution,Democrats,Obama,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Terrorism,Wankers

Fingers Crossed, But…

While it is certainly encouraging to think that the South is a ticking demographic timebomb poised to blow up the Republican Party once and for all, I would be a lot more excited if the Democrats had not shown themselves to be ready, willing and able to fill the political void that remained.  Much as I like the idea of the GOP relegated to the role of a crazy ineffectual fringe party, it’s not as exciting if the newly dominant Democrats are indistinguishable from, if not actually to the right of, the pre-crazy Republicans.

Maybe it’s an instinctual compulsion to maintain a constant ideological distance from their opponents that causes the Democrats to move rightward at the same pace as the Republicans, or maybe they’re just completely corrupt and cynical, and the most conservative positions they can get away with move to the right as the GOP does.

If the Democrats destroy the Republicans only to become them, it will be a Pyrrhic victory at best, as America will rapidly follow the GOP down the drain.

June 5th, 2013 at 10:42am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Democrats,Elections,Politics,Polls,Republicans

Nice Try.

AP did their best to try to make the alternative to Social Security benefit cuts sound as unappealing as possible, asking people if they would rather “raise taxes” than cut benefits, but their respondents still preferred that to cutting benefits by a 53-36 margin.

Now imagine what that margin would be if they had asked about keeping the rate the same but raising or eliminating the cap on the payroll tax cap so that the rich pay the same effective rate as everyone else.  Too bad that seems to be almost a taboo subject, probably because the fix is in.

August 28th, 2012 at 07:10am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Media,Politics,Polls,Social Security,Wankers

Remember When The Tea Party Was The New Silent Majority?

I seem to remember media (and politicians) making a big deal out of polls showing that some huge percentage of Americans “supported” the Tea Party, and both parties were eager to appease them.

How things can change…

[Occupy Wall Street] has a 54% favorability rating compared to the conservative group’s 27%, according to a new Time magazine poll.

A sizable number – 23% – said they didn’t know enough about the Wall St. protesters to make a decision.

In contrast, 23% said they had a negative opinion of Occupy Wall Street compared to 65% who said the Tea Party’s influence has been negative or negligible.

Who ever could have guessed that a message about corrupt rich people and corporations hijacking our country for their own gain would be more popular than “Fuck the poor”?

(I also find it hilarious when teabaggers and Republicans indignantly complain about how the Occupiers are angry, rude, divisive and negative.  Not like those nice polite people who were carrying guns and shouting down their elected representatives at healthcare town halls, or carrying misspelled signs portraying the President Of The United States as an African witch doctor with a bone through his nose.)

October 14th, 2011 at 07:21am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Economy,Media,Politics,Polls,Republicans

Obatross

It’s looking more and more like Obama’s going to take congressional Democrats down with him again next year.  But some Democratic consultants still cling to hope (and change):

“I’m glad the election’s not today,” said Democratic pollster Keith Frederick, a veteran of House races. “Every poll shows independents losing their patience for the president. These House elections tend to get nationalized, and there’s no doubt right now that as a referendum on Barack Obama, House Democrats lose.”

I would love to know what makes Frederick think that Obama is going to be more popular in 2012.  If Democrats think the jobs bill is going to be enough to save them, they are sadly mistaken.  Especially after Obama strips it of everything but corporate tax breaks and forces Democrats to vote for it.

September 23rd, 2011 at 11:51am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Elections,Obama,Politics,Polls

Approval And Unemployment

David Axelrod whistles past the graveyard:

Despite what you hear in elite commentary, the President’s support among base voters and in key demographic groups has stayed strong. According to the latest NBC-WSJ poll, Democrats approve of his performance by an 81%-14% margin. That’s stronger than President Clinton’s support among Democrats at this point in his term and, according to Gallup, stronger than any Democratic President dating back to Harry Truman through this point in their presidency.

Well, there’s a couple of problems with that.  One is that the 81% are not exactly enthusiastic in their approval:

Only 48% of Democrats on our most recent national survey said they were ‘very excited’ about voting in 2012. On the survey before that the figure was 49%. Those last two polls are the only times all year the ‘very excited’ number has dipped below 50%.

In 13 polls before August the average level of Democrats ‘very excited’ about voting next year had averaged 57%. It had been as high as 65% and only twice had the number even dipped below 55%.

The other is that since Election Day 2008, the breakdown of party affiliation has gone from 28/37/33 Republican/Independent/Democrat to 28/44/26.  Which kinda suggests to me that Obama just managed to drive 7% of the electorate out of the Democratic Party entirely.  If you add those people back in, then Obama’s approval rating is more like 64% among people who were Democrats when Obama was elected.

Granted, that’s probably an oversimplification, but the shrinkage in Democratic affiliation is almost certainly inflating Obama’s approval rating there, in much the same way that ignoring people who have given up looking for work understates the true scope of unemployment.

1 comment September 17th, 2011 at 04:25pm Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Obama,Politics,Polls,Unemployment,Wankers

This Just In

Apparently the teabaggers are basically just rebranded Republican theocrats.  If they’re political independents, it’s only because the Republican Party isn’t sufficiently suffused with right-wing religious fanaticism.

But the joke’s on them, because now they’re even less popular than the religious right, and even atheists and Muslims.  Why, they’re even less popular than Obama’s record on the economy, and that’s saying something.

The Tea Party really is the best hope Obama and the Democrats have next year – that they nominate more unelectable crazies like Sharron Angle, Linda McMahon and Christine O’Donnell, and that voters turn against the teabaggers that they elected last year.  Lesser of two evils is pretty much all they have going for them next year, so they’re going to have to be pretty damn lesser to overcome the enthusiasm gap (who could have predicted that the party that strokes its base would get better turnout than the party that kicks theirs?).

1 comment August 18th, 2011 at 08:08am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Economy,Elections,Obama,Politics,Polls,Religion,Republicans

There’s No One Left To Vote For

Shorter American electorate: WE HATE EVERYBODY.

And really, who can blame them?  Both parties got their shot at running the government, and both parties failed miserably because they cared more about their corporate and wealthy donors than the people they were elected to serve.

There is definitely room for a third party (although it would really be more like a second party at this point), but not if it’s just a corporate “centrist” party positioned between the other two corporate parties.  The only kind of third party that’s going to gain any traction would be a populist one that promises to represent ordinary people instead of corporations and the wealthy.

1 comment August 6th, 2011 at 01:47pm Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Democrats,Elections,Obama,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Wankers

What I’ve Been Saying

I said this over five years ago:

Republicans understand that voters in “the base” turn out if motivated, and the undecideds in the middle do not. Consequently, they tailor their electoral strategy to pumping up their base to maximize that turnout, and they don’t worry about the middle all that much because they’re proportionally less of a factor. The Democrats, on the other hand, repeatedly throw their base under the bus in pursuit of those fickle undecideds who probably aren’t voting anyway.

From Nate Silver’s post on why Republicans are crazy (answer: because unlike the Democrats, they’re playing to their base):

Tell me again why alienating your base in pursuit of independents is a good electoral strategy?

(This is, of course, assuming that this actually is the Democrats’ electoral strategy and not just an excuse for pursuing conservative policy goals on behalf of their corporate benefactors.  But as excuses go, it’s a pretty transparently ridiculous one.)

1 comment July 8th, 2011 at 07:36am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Elections,Politics,Polls,Wankers

Keep Your Government Hands Off My Medicare!

I think Republicans may actually hate their party’s plans for Medicare reform even more than Democrats hated Obama’s plan for healthcare reform.

McClatchy/Marist:

Americans clearly don’t want the government to cut Medicare, the government health program for the elderly, or Medicaid, the program for the poor. Republicans in the House of Representatives voted last week to drastically restructure and reduce those programs, while Obama calls for trimming their costs but leaving them essentially intact.

Voters oppose cuts to those programs by 80-18 percent. Even among conservatives, only 29 percent supported cuts, and 68 percent opposed them.

WaPo/ABC News:

When simply asked whether they wanted Medicare to remain a defined benefits plan or see it changed into a voucher system to buy private insurance, a full 65 percent of Americans said they were opposed to this change, while only 34 percent supported it. After the poll explained that the cost of private insurance would likely rise faster than the value of the vouchers, causing seniors to pay more for insurance (as the CBO says would happen under the House Republican budget), the total opposed jumped to 84 percent.

Just how incredibly unpopular is this major provision of the Republican budget? With 84 percent opposed to it, Ryan’s Medicare voucher program has even less support among the American people than the individual mandate in the Affordable Care Act, which the latest KFF poll found 67 percent want repealed.

If it were possible to vote against politicians without having to vote for their opponents, DC would be a ghost town.

April 21st, 2011 at 11:25am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Healthcare,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Taxes

Is The Republican Party About To Drown In Its Own Bathtub?

No One Could Have Anticipated, Exhibit A: Apparently decades of huge tax cuts make your state (or country) broke!

No One Could Have Anticipated, Exhibit B: Apparently voters don’t like it when you slash government services to pay for decades of huge tax cuts!  (Or brand-new tax cuts, for that matter.)

I particularly like Politico’s clueless first sentence: “It was supposed to be one of the clearest messages of the 2010 elections: Voters were finally fed up with government spending.”  I’m pretty sure that the clearest message of the 2010 elections was “We don’t like watching the banksters who blew up the economy get off scot-free (with bailouts, no less) while we can’t even find a job or hold onto our houses.  Also, Obama is a worthless corporate sellout who has watered down or completely reneged on every single one of his campaign promises.”

And as Joseph Stiglitz points out in his refusal to sign the please-cut-Social-Security/Bowles-Simpson-is-awesome deficit reduction letter, fiscal austerity at the federal level will only make matters worse there, too.

It looks like the GOP is about to experience a pretty serious electoral backlash at the state level, and the only thing that might save them from the same fate nationally is if Obama and the Democrats help them hold the government’s head underwater instead of fighting to save it.  Unfortunately, it looks like that’s exactly what they plan to do.

2 comments March 31st, 2011 at 05:39pm Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Economy,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Taxes

This Can Only Be Good For Generic Republicans

So despite all his pro-corporate worthlessness and ineptitude, Obama still polls ahead of a generic unnamed Republican opponent by 10 points, 47-37.  I suspect that this probably says a lot more about fear of Republicans than it does about confidence in Obama.

I guess the best way to confirm that would be to ask voters if they would rather vote for Obama or a crazy person who wants to deregulate everything, cut taxes for the rich, throw all the gays, immigrants and labor unions out of the country, and gut Social Security and Medicare to pay for more wars, and see if those numbers change at all.

March 24th, 2011 at 10:58am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Elections,Obama,Politics,Polls,Republicans

Thrower-Outer’s Remorse?

I saw a remarkable number recently – Michigan’s union-busting Republican governor won election by 18 points last year, but if he had to run for election today, just a few months later, he would lose. And I think a lot of other similar governors (i.e., Scott Walker, Rick Scott) are in a similar situation.

So what I’m wondering is what exactly the message is here. Is it solely about appalled voters finally realizing just what it is they voted for, or is it a measure of just how disgusted they were with Obama and the Democrats that they would vote for anybody just to send a message?

Sometimes you don’t have to provide an appealing alternative – just an alternative.

4 comments March 23rd, 2011 at 12:55pm Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Economy,Elections,Labor,Politics,Polls,Republicans

America Catches On

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First everyone realized that the Republicans sucked and voted them out of power.  Then they discovered that Obama and the Democrats sucked and destroyed them in the 2010 midterms.  Now they’re remembering once again just how much the Republicans suck, but it’s not making them like Obama and the Democrats any better.  The sad truth is that both parties suck horribly right now.

A new Pew Research Center poll shows that about half of Americans think the debate over spending and deficits has been “generally rude and disrespectful.”

There’s even bipartisan agreement — 48 percent of Republicans and Democrats have that view, as well as 57 percent of independents. President Barack Obama signed legislation Friday to provide funding to keep the government open until April 8, the sixth such temporary extension in the 6-month-old fiscal year.

Pew surveyed 1,525 adults from March 8-14. The poll’s findings suggest the political losers so far have been Republicans, who rode a wave of voter irritation to win control of the House of Representatives last fall.

After the election, 35 percent said Republicans had a better approach to the deficit, expected to reach a record $1.65 trillion this year. This month, that number has plunged to 21 percent.

People don’t think Obama has better ideas, either — 20 percent found his approach better, down from November’s 24 percent. Total sample margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Unless there’s an intriguing third party candidate next year, I’m thinking turnout is going to be pretty damn low…

2 comments March 21st, 2011 at 08:00am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Economy,Obama,Politics,Polls,Republicans

Thank You, Scott Walker

You’ve probably done more to help the labor movement than any progressive activist, organization or politician could ever hope for.  Congratulations on a job well done!

March 1st, 2011 at 11:38am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Labor,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Wankers

Is Labor The New Latinos?

The HuffPost Hill raises an interesting question:

According to 2008 exit polls, John McCain won 37% of union members nationally, while picking up 35% in Wisconsin and 41% in Ohio. Now, if you’re a union member, it’s long been fine to vote Republican for the guns and the other stuff, knowing that the GOP isn’t the workingman’s best friend, but he’s not gonna be that much worse than the Democrat. That’s the calculation that created the Reagan Democrat and has kept the GOP competitive for several generations. But what happens to that calculation when Republicans make a real attempt to ELIMINATE YOUR UNION? If that union number drops from 37 to, say, 25, how does the GOP get to an electoral majority?

I think this is a lot like immigration – a golden opportunity that the Democrats are squandering by trying to out-Republican the Republicans.  Just as Obama is kicking Dubya’s ass on the number of deportations, we also see him and other Democrats like Andrew Cuomo and Rahm Emanuel embracing the GOP gospel of scapegoating public unions for budget shortfalls and trying to freeze or cut their pay.

So once again, instead of seizing the opportunity and locking up a key constituency, Obama and the Democrats are desperately trying to hand them back to the Republicans.  Brilliant.

February 24th, 2011 at 08:00am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Immigration,Labor,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Wankers

Fascinating Poll Results That Will Be Ignored

…Because apparently anything that more than 60 or 70% of Americans agree on must be some kind of wacky fringe leftist position that can be safely disregarded, like the public option and withdrawing from Iraq and not extending tax cuts for the rich.

  • 80 to 90+% of not just Americans, but of gun owners, want to make it harder for criminals, terrorists, and dangerously disturbed people to buy guns, favoring improvements in federal databases and background checks for all gun sales.  Why does the NRA hate gun owners?
  • The socialism that they rail against and see everywhere is more popular than the teabaggers are.  So if you’re looking for someone to identify as wacky and fringe, maybe it should be the guy holding the picture of the President Of The United States as a witch doctor with a bone through his nose.

I think the third bullet point is the only one that even has a chance of being heard.  But I fear that Obama is too committed to cutting Social Security for it to matter.  And I’m sure he can find enough Republicans and conservadems to make it happen.

If only we lived in a democracy, where the will of the people actually counted for something.

1 comment January 20th, 2011 at 07:35am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Democrats,Obama,Politics,Polls,Wankers

Democracy In Action

This just in: 61% of Americans want to reduce the deficit by raising taxes on the rich, 3% want to do it by cutting Social Security.

So what does Obama do?  He cuts a deal with Republicans behind his own party’s back to extend the Bush tax cuts for the rich, and he creates a presidential deficit reduction commission stocked with Pete Peterson acolytes and other enemies of Social Security, whose draconian recommendations he shows every sign of favoring.

Obama and the Democrats might want to think about this as they wonder why they got destroyed in next year’s elections.

January 4th, 2011 at 07:41am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Democrats,Economy,Elections,Obama,Politics,Polls,Social Security,Taxes,Wankers

How’s That Working Out For Ya?

So it’s pretty clear that Obama’s political strategy is to antagonize the Democratic base in order to appeal to the independents (who, I must point out, would never be as motivated to turn out as diehard Democrats would).  Looks like it’s about half-successful:

The poll was taken from Dec. 2 through Wednesday, as the president proposed a two-year freeze on federal civilian workers’ pay and cut a deal with congressional Republicans to extend expiring tax cuts — even those for the wealthy, which he’d opposed.

Overall, just 42 percent of registered voters approve of how he’s doing his job, while 50 percent disapprove.

Obama’s standing among Democrats dropped from a month ago, with his approval rating falling to 74 percent from 83 percent, and his disapproval rating almost doubling, from 11 percent to 21 percent.

Among liberals, his approval rating dropped from 78 percent to 69 percent and his disapproval rating jumped from 14 percent to 22 percent.

His position among independents remained virtually the same, with 39 percent approving and 52 percent disapproving. A month ago, it was 38-54.

The president’s continued failure to rally independents could ruin his bid for re-election. A hypothetical 2012 matchup showed him getting the support of 44 percent of registered voters and Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, getting 46 percent.

Epic. Political. Fail.  Obama has sacrificed guaranteed votes (and contributions, and boots on the ground) in exchange for absolutely nothing.  Even if protecting corporations and wealth was really his goal all along, I would still expect him to at least try to get re-elected.

December 11th, 2010 at 02:24pm Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Democrats,Obama,Politics,Polls,Taxes,Wankers

Juxtaposition Of The Day

Item 1:

A Defense Department survey of military service members finds that a majority of them would not object to serving alongside openly gay troops, according to multiple people familiar with the findings.

Item 2:

An Air Force Academy survey found that 41 percent of cadets who identified themselves as non-Christian said they were subjected to unwanted proselytizing at least once or twice last year.

Tell me again who it is that’s undermining morale and unit cohesion?

1 comment October 29th, 2010 at 07:59am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Polls,Religion,Teh Gay,War

Yet Another Brilliant Compromise

So let’s see:

The Democratic base overwhelmingly wants Elizabeth Warren to be the head of the CFPB.  Wall Street, Republicans, and conservadems overwhelmingly want her not to be head of the CFPB.

Solution: Give her absolutely no power over the CFPB, but pretend that you have.  Surely that will fool all the rubes on the left, right?

As Matt Yglesias tweeted:

With Warren, Obama showing real innovation in developing odd, satisfying to nobody compromises.

Sigh.  I’m almost rooting for impeachment at this point – I’m not sure I can take another 2-6 years of being treated like an irrelevant simpleton.

September 16th, 2010 at 11:34am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Economy,Obama,Politics,Polls,Wankers

OH NOES TEH ACORN

This is just pathetic:

ACORN may not exist anymore but 20% of Americans still think (or at least say they think) it will steal the election to keep Democrats in control of Congress this fall.

(…)

Perhaps the most interesting thing about all this is that only 40% of voters definitively say they think ACORN will not steal the election with another 40% saying they’re not sure. I guess a lot of folks are just waiting to see if ACORN’s really gone away or if it’s just hiding in the bushes waiting for people to get complacent before it makes its move.

Obviously ACORN is going to be too busy reinstating the Fairness Doctrine, dragging gun owners off to concentration camps, and staffing death panels to tamper with any elections.

1 comment September 15th, 2010 at 07:20am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Elections,Polls,Republicans,Wankers

Washington Post Calls 85% Of America “Denialists”

Well isn’t this special…

The current focus of the Social Security denialists’ ire is President Obama’s National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, which they view as a stalking horse for gutting Social Security. A new group, the Strengthen Social Security Coalition, which includes the AFL-CIO, the NAACP and the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare, asserts that the president’s two choices to chair the panel, Democrat Erskine Bowles and Republican Alan Simpson, “sent a clear message. Social Security is on the chopping block.” The groups’ list of what changes are unacceptable is longer than what it would consider: no increase in retirement age; no reduction in benefits; no “means testing.” Rather, they say, the adjustments should come from the revenue side. Though the possibilities are not specified, they include raising the payroll tax rate, raising the ceiling for income on which benefits are paid or finding a new revenue source, such as the estate tax or a new financial transactions tax.

We would prefer a more balanced solution, one that relies on a combination of revenue increases and benefit adjustments. On the revenue side, it’s essential that the funding source come from within the Social Security system itself. The coalition is correct that Social Security should not be used to deal with deficit problems outside the program, but the converse is also true: Getting Social Security on a sustainable footing should not add to the deficit. Raising the payroll tax ceiling to cover the same share of wages that it did in 1983 would make sense, but that would only solve about one-third of the long-term problem. Some adjustments on the benefits side, particularly making benefits less generous for the highest-income recipients, would also make sense.

…Or the payroll tax ceiling could simply be removed, which as I understand it would fix 100% of the problem.  Funny how “benefit adjustments” seems like a perfectly acceptable idea but removing the cap doesn’t.

But if the WaPo wants to call us denialists, we’re in good company:

Social Security turns 75 this week and remains an intensely popular program with voters of all ages, who strongly oppose cutting it to reduce the deficit, according to a new survey paid for by AARP and conducted by GfK Roper.

The poll, which was provided exclusively to HuffPost, finds that 85 percent of adults oppose cutting Social Security to reduce the deficit; 72 percent “strongly oppose” doing so.

Too bad there just doesn’t seem to be any political will for doing what a mere 85% of the country wants.

2 comments August 12th, 2010 at 11:39am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Economy,Media,Politics,Polls,Wankers

Insight Of The Day

From a Philly Inquirer story about Republican PA-GOV candidate Tom Corbett trying to walk back his comments about how the jobless would rather collect unemployment than work:

The Quinnipiac University poll gave Corbett an edge of 44 to 37 percent over Onorato, with many voters still undecided. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

The previous Quinnipiac poll, released shortly before the May 18 primary, gave Corbett a virtually identical 43-37 advantage in a head-to-head race with Onorato.

“That’s a formula for a victory for Republicans in Pennsylvania if those numbers hold up,” Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said Tuesday.

That’s right, the party with the most votes usually wins.  That’s some mighty good analyzin’ there, I tell you what.

July 15th, 2010 at 11:12am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Pittsburgh/PA,Polls,Quotes

The Wages Of Selling Out Is Mistrust

No one could have anticipated…

Almost four out of five Americans surveyed in a Bloomberg National Poll this month say they have just a little or no confidence that the measure being championed by congressional Democrats will prevent or significantly soften a future crisis. More than three-quarters say they don’t have much or any confidence the proposal will make their savings and financial assets more secure.

A plurality — 47 percent — says the bill will do more to protect the financial industry than consumers; 38 percent say consumers would benefit more.

Or this…

A majority or plurality disapproves of Obama’s management of the economy, health care, the budget deficit, the overhaul of financial market regulations and the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, according to a Bloomberg National Poll conducted July 9- 12. In addition, almost 6 in 10 respondents say the war in Afghanistan is a lost cause. The Senate is scheduled to begin voting on the financial regulation bill today.

Almost two-thirds say they feel the nation is headed in the wrong direction, an even more sour assessment than in March when 58 percent felt that way. Two-thirds of independent voters are pessimistic, while just 56 percent of Democrats offer a vote of confidence.

Great going, guys.  You alienated your own base without doing squat to entice conservatives.  That’s really going to work out well for you in November.

July 15th, 2010 at 07:12am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Democrats,Elections,Obama,Politics,Polls,Wankers

Insane Disturbing Stat Of The Day

In case you need more proof of just how completely unhinged and, well, kind of evil Republicans are…

We have some new national polling coming out tomorrow on offshore drilling. The most astounding number from the poll? 28% of Republicans said the recent oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico made them more likely to support drilling off the coast to an equal 28% who said it made them less likely to be supportive. 44% said it made no difference to them and that’s understandable, but why would an oil spill make you more supportive of drilling?

The only two explanations I can think of are:

1) “Fuck you, liberals!  Anything that drives them this crazy must be a good thing.”

2) “Now that I’ve seen the offshore drilling worst-case scenario… it’s not so bad, really.  Losing an entire coastline every once in a while seems like an acceptable risk to me.”

(h/t Michael Whitney)

2 comments May 11th, 2010 at 11:26am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Energy,Environment,Polls,Republicans,Wankers

The Populitists

Man, that whole Tea Party narrative is just looking more and more threadbare.  The “spontaneous outpouring of patriotic concern by ordinary citizens who are totally not funded by corporations or GOP operatives in any way, nope” myth got blown up almost immediately, and now it looks like the “working-class heartland Americans who are worried about their finances and sick of the government always choosing corporations and rich people over the little guy” story is on pretty shaky ground too:

Tea Party supporters are wealthier and more well-educated than the general public, and are no more or less afraid of falling into a lower socioeconomic class, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.

(…)

Tea Party supporters’ fierce animosity toward Washington, and the president in particular, is rooted in deep pessimism about the direction of the country and the conviction that the policies of the Obama administration are disproportionately directed at helping the poor rather than the middle class or the rich.

The overwhelming majority of supporters say Mr. Obama does not share the values most Americans live by and that he does not understand the problems of people like themselves. More than half say the policies of the administration favor the poor, and 25 percent think that the administration favors blacks over whites — compared with 11 percent of the general public.

They are more likely than the general public, and Republicans, to say that too much has been made of the problems facing black people.

So instead of being blue collar just-folks frightened by unemployment and uncertainty, and outraged by the inequity of the government bailing out fatcats while the poor struggle, it turns out that the teabaggers are moderately-stocky cats who are outraged by the government’s feeble and inadequate attempts to help the poor out.  Especially when the poor are those people.

Those of us on the left (myself included) who thought there was some slim chance of making common cause with them against a shared corporate enemy, well, we were completely wrong.  The teabaggers are just the latest media-darling flavor-of-the-month iteration of the archetypal I-got-mine-fuck-you conservative.  They’re populist only if your idea of populist is a bunch of upper-middle-class people who want to cut off the poor, and the only common ground we have with them is our dislike of Harry Reid and Blanche Lincoln.

We were right about them being mostly racist old white guys, though.

April 15th, 2010 at 07:48pm Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Media,Politics,Polls,Republicans

Dear Congress: We Hate ALL Of You.

Love, 50% Of The American People:

In fact, when it comes to Congress, many voters would like to start anew. Asked if they would “replace every single member of Congress, including your own representative” if they could, 50% said “yes” while 47% said “no.”

50% is an incredibly huge number for such an extreme position, and suggests that a sizable majority of Americans would be happy to replace a sizable majority of Congress.

Most striking of all:

Those that said yes were asked if they would still be game if the Democrats kept the majority in Congress, and 72% said they would, while 22% said they wouldn’t. Asked if they would go along if replacing all lawmakers would put the Republicans in control, 73% said yes and 24% said no.

The disgust with both parties is so deep that it doesn’t even matter which party is nominally in control.  And quite frankly, the more the healthcare reform debacle unfolds, the more I agree.

March 20th, 2010 at 11:35am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Corruption/Cronyism,Democrats,Healthcare,Politics,Polls,Republicans,Wankers

Epic Win

This. Is. Awesome.

Republicans like a politician who stands up for what he believes — even if he believes the Republican Party is populated by a bunch of “knuckle-dragging Neanderthals.”

The candidate leading the Florida GOP primary to determine who will take on Rep. Alan Grayson, the Democrat who represents the Orlando-based district, is none other than Grayson himself, according to a poll paid for by his campaign. Grayson is a freshman congressman who has drawn scorn from the GOP and has quickly built a nationwide following of progressives.

The poll has Grayson leading the 13 Republicans — among Republicans — with 27.8 percent of the vote. The congressman who mocked the GOP health care plan by saying that it amounts to telling people not to get sick and if they do, to die quickly, received more support than all of the Republican candidates combined.

No GOP candidate scored above 3.7 percent; 57.7 percent said they were undecided.

HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!  Oh yeah, he’s really in Desperate Electoral Peril all right.

I know it’s his own poll, but if the numbers are even close to right it’s hugely embarrassing for the Republicans.  It’s also some pretty brilliant and creative campaign messaging.

1 comment March 5th, 2010 at 11:24am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Coolness,Democrats,Elections,Politics,Polls,Republicans

This Is What Happens

When you don’t deliver on your campaign promises.  Or actively work to sabotage them.

A year after supporting Barack Obama for president by an overwhelming 2-to-1 ratio, young adults are cooling quickly toward his Democrats amid dissatisfaction over the lack of change in Washington and an escalating war in Afghanistan.

A study by the Pew Research Center, being released Wednesday, highlights the eroding support from 18- to 29-year- olds whose strong turnout in November 2008 was read by some demographers as the start of a new Democratic movement.

The findings are significant because they offer further proof that the diverse coalition of voters Obama cobbled together in 2008 — including high numbers of first-timers, young minorities and youths — are not Democratic Party voters who can necessarily be counted on.

While young adults remain decidedly more liberal, the survey found the Democratic advantage among 18- to 29-year-olds has substantially narrowed, from a record 62 percent identifying as Democrat vs. 30 percent for the Republicans in 2008, down to 54 percent vs. 40 percent last December. It was the largest percentage point jump in those who identified or leaned Republican among all the voting age groups.

Young adults’ voting enthusiasm also crumbled.

During the presidential election, turnout among 18- to 29-year-olds was the highest in years, comprising roughly 20 percent of the voters in many states including Virginia and New Jersey, due in part to high participation from young blacks and Hispanics.

That percentage, however, dropped by half for the governors’ races in those states last November, where Republicans celebrated wins as black groups pushed Obama to do more to soften the economic blow from mortgage foreclosures and Latinos saw little progress on immigration reform. Young adults also were the least likely of any age group to identify themselves as regular voters.

They could have been “the start of a new Democratic movement”, but Obama chose to turn his back on them the second his election was secure.  Apparently he either thinks he can win without them, that he can turn on the charm and the uplifting hopey talk when he needs it, or that they’ll just have to vote for him because the alternative is so much worse.  Personally, I wouldn’t bet my presidency on any of those outcomes.  Maybe he thinks grateful PhRMA and Wall Street dollars will be enough to buy the 2012 election, but I kinda doubt that too.

And it won’t be just the youth vote Obama will be losing; he’s going to lose a big chunk of the Democratic base too.  Contempt and betrayal are not really great drivers for turnout.

February 26th, 2010 at 07:21am Posted by Eli

Entry Filed under: Economy,Healthcare,Obama,Politics,Polls

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